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Based out of Auckland, New Zealand, we bring an institutional trading experience to the retail market.
Mark O'Donnell
Research Analyst
June 15, 2018

BlackBull Bulletin 15 June 2018



Big News this week


ECB Tightening Its Monetary Policy


The European Central Bank announced to leave rates unchanged (Main refinancing operations 0.00%, Marginal lending facility 0.25%, Deposit facility -0.4%) and expect to remain at this level at least through the summer of 2019. The European Central Bank kept options open as Draghi said rates would remain at record lows for “as long as necessary” to keep inflation just under 2 percent. The European Central Bank also announced to end the Asset Purchase Programme by December 2018. The Governing Council will continue to make net purchases at the current €30 billion per month until the end of September 2018; the asset purchase will reduce to €15 billion until the end of December 2018. The EUR fell around 1% after the monetary policy decision, the EUR fell another 1.4% after Draghi’s dovish view of the upcoming risks including U.S. trade tariffs and the nervousness that Italy’s populist government might start another financial crisis.


The Long-Awaited Meeting


After months of preparation and speculations that the summit between U.S. President Trump and North-Korea leader Kim Jong Un finally came true at Singapore this week Tuesday. According to President Trump, the meeting was a success, the North Koreans signing an agreement to a complete denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula and permitted for the United States to resume MIA remains. North Korea scored two key victories as China voiced support for revisiting economic sanctions and Trump announced to suspend military exercise with South Korea. Kim Jong Un receives a “hero’s welcome as he returns to Pyongyang”.



FED’s interest rate decision


The Federal Open Market Committee raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 2%. The rise of rates is expected in the market as USD rallied in EUR/USD to 1.17253 while falling back to 1.17864. The FOMC is projecting two additional hikes by the end of the year and three further hikes by the end of 2019. The projected gradual rate rise will be consistent with the sustained economic growth, strong labour market, and help to maintain the interest rate around 2%.


Other Important Events


►The Bank of Japan decided with an 8-1 majority vote to leave the interest rate unchanged at -0.1%. The Bank of Japan also decided will maintain the current pace of ¥80 trillion Japanese Government Bonds repurchase so that the 10-year Japanese Government Bonds yield will remain at around 0%.

The G7 summit ended with many issues unsolved. Just after Trump gives a 10/10 rating for the relationship between the G7 members, he tweeted he would not endorse the communique due to “false statements” from the Canadian Prime Minister. He added that the U.S. tariffs are in response to Canadian 270% tariff on dairy. President Donald Trump was also criticised for insisting that the G7 should bring back Vladimir Putin as it would be an “asset” at the summit table.



Up-Coming Events


►Bank of England is set to release their interest rate decision followed by their monetary policy statement on 21st June.


►President Donald Trump has approved tariffs on $50 Billion in Chinese imports on a list of about 1,300 products. An updated list of Chinese tariff targets is scheduled to release on Friday.


Video of the Week



This information is subject to change without notice. BlackBull Markets strives to provide the most accurate information available, but cannot guarantee that any of these events will occur nor that the outcome will be as stated. This information is to be used for educational purposes only and further research should be done before trading.

BlackBull Markets is the trade name of Black Bull Group Limited Ltd which is a registered Financial Service Provider in New Zealand with FSP No. 403326. Black Bull Group Limited registered New Zealand Company is listed on New Zealand Financial Service Provider Register (#FSP 403326) and is also a member of the Financial Dispute Resolution Service FSCL.

Risk Warning: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and, therefore, you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose. You should make yourself aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial adviser if you have any questions or concerns as to how a loss would affect your lifestyle.


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