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Mark O' Donnell
Research Analyst
August 12, 2022

Relief pumps still in play for XAU/USD

  • Sentiment may be slightly bearish for Gold at the moment with many indicators pointing to the price falling
  • Relief pumps are still in play for gold from the perspective of the daily time frame

On the weekly chart, we can see that Gold has made a four-week push from lows of $1,680/oz to its current trading price close to $1,790/oz. 

However, sentiment may be slightly bearish for Gold at the moment with many indicators pointing to the price falling.  

For one, there is a bearish indicator on the monthly chart with a solidly formed double top pattern with intra-month prices butting up against US$2,070/oz at those peaks. From a long-term downside point of view, we might expect $1,670/oz to act as a support barrier, just as it has for the past five downside tests, going back to May 2020. But sellers would have to bust through $1,765/oz, $1,340/oz and $1,707/oz, before the sub-1,700 supports come into play.  

Unfortunately, the RSI is acting indifferent on the monthly frame and not suggesting momentum one way or the other just yet. Whereas the Commodity Channel Index is firmly in negative territory, although turned sharply upwards. 

XAU/USD 1M, with RSI and CCI Indicator  

Even if bearishness overcomes gold, relief pumps are still in play from the perspective of the daily time frame. The price of gold has found support above the US$1,750 area in confluence with the 50-Daily Moving Average and to a lesser extent the 20-Daily Moving Average acting as supports. Relief pumps to the upside will first have to contend with US$1,800/oz, a level it has rejected the past two days. 

XAU/USD 1D, with 20-50-200 Daily Moving Averages 
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